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- NBA Hit by Scandal
Federal authorities arrest NBA players and a head coach in a major illegal gambling scandal, triggering league action, legal scrutiny, and widespread integrity concerns across professional basketball ( image source ) The NBA was rocked this week after federal authorities announced sweeping arrests and indictments tied to an extensive illegal gambling and poker-game operation involving current and former players, a head coach and organised-crime networks. The probe, spanning several years and multiple U.S. states, targeted alleged manipulation of betting markets and the misuse of non-public performance information related to NBA games. Among those arrested were Chauncey Billups, head coach of the Portland Trail Blazers, and Terry Rozier, guard for the Miami Heat. Billups is charged in connection with a rigged high-stakes poker scheme with suspected Mafia links, while Rozier is accused of exploiting privileged performance information and facilitating illicit wagers tied to his own on-court statistics. The FBI and the U.S. Department of Justice described the indictments as the culmination of a complex investigation into fraud, money-laundering and organised-crime collusion within professional sports and betting circles. Authorities confirmed that more than 30 individuals were arrested across multiple states in coordinated operations. Immediate league response The NBA swiftly placed implicated personnel on administrative leave and launched its own integrity review. League officials stressed their commitment to preserving fair competition while cooperating fully with investigators. Teams and sponsors are also assessing reputational risk and potential contractual implications following the arrests. Legal analysts say prosecutors will need to prove that game outcomes or performance details were intentionally manipulated or used to influence illicit betting. That will likely involve forensic analysis of financial records, communications and testimony from cooperating witnesses. Broader implications The scandal threatens the NBA’s credibility and commercial standing, with broadcasters and international partners closely monitoring developments. Analysts believe the case could trigger significant reform in how sports regulators and betting operators monitor wagering anomalies and respond to integrity threats. As prosecutions advance, the scandal is expected to reshape compliance rules governing the intersection of professional sport and gambling, prompting closer collaboration between leagues, authorities and regulated betting platforms to protect game integrity and deter organised-crime influence.
- Mahlanga commission drama as Cele reveals alleged Tembisa gangster’s 43 cash heists
Dramatic testimony at the Mahlanga Commission highlights alleged failures in policing and justice, as Bheki Cele reveals a Tembisa suspect linked to 43 cash-in-transit heists and multiple bail releases ( image source ) Explosive testimony at the Mahlanga Commission took a dramatic turn on Thursday when former South African Police Minister Bheki Cele referenced a notorious Tembisa figure known as “Bebe,” alleging the suspect is linked to 43 cash-heist incidents and has mounted five separate bail applications — yet remains at liberty. The revelations intensified scrutiny of policing failures, alleged collusion and systemic rot within the South African Police Service (SAPS), which the commission is examining. Cele’s disclosure came during a session focused on how organised-crime networks exploit weaknesses in law-enforcement processes and the extent to which corrupt or negligent officials have enabled repeat offending. He argued that the “Bebe” case typifies a broader pattern in which prolific offenders accumulate multiple charges and continue operating while prosecutions stall and community-policing responses remain fragmented. Weak accountability under the spotlight Witnesses said gaps between arrest, indictment and trial allow serial offenders to exploit procedural delays. A retired prosecutor cited case-management failures, under-resourced investigative units and slow forensic turnaround times as key drivers of backlogs that enable re-offending. Defence lawyers warned that lawful bail and presumption of innocence must remain safeguarded — but agreed stronger supervision of high-risk suspects is critical to protect communities. Cele said these dynamics erode public confidence and embolden criminal gangs, especially in areas plagued by cash-in-transit robberies. He warned the commission that widespread perception of zero consequences fuels community mistrust of SAPS. Calls for urgent reform Commissioners pressed senior police officials for data on arrest-to-conviction timelines, oversight of repeat bailees, and disciplinary consistency where officers are implicated in corruption. Reforms under consideration include tighter bail monitoring, integrated information systems and improved vetting of private security contractors tied to cash-heist operations. Community leaders urged immediate operational changes, including dedicated case-tracking units and strengthened witness protection, saying residents are living in fear of visible re-offending and retaliation against whistle-blowers. Victim advocates asked for clearer performance metrics to ensure reforms deliver real reductions in violent crime. The Mahlanga panel now faces rising pressure to translate testimony into decisive recommendations addressing both procedural failures and misconduct within SAPS ranks. Commissioners signalled that upcoming hearings will cross-reference evidence to determine whether legislative, policy or disciplinary action is required to prevent prolific offenders from exploiting weak justice systems and undermining public safety.
- Govt assures farmers of fertiliser supply
Government says domestic production and secured imports will ensure timely fertiliser supply for Zimbabwe’s 2025–26 planting season ( image source ) Government has moved to reassure farmers that fertiliser stocks will be sufficient for the 2025–26 summer cropping season, with officials citing strong domestic production and secured imports to support the Presidential Input Scheme as planting intensifies nationwide. Lands, Agriculture, Fisheries, Water and Rural Development permanent secretary Obert Jiri said a recent inspection of the Reignbold Fertiliser plant confirmed the facility is “fully operational and producing at scale.” Government briefings and industry sources indicate more than 25,000 tonnes of top-dressing have already been secured, alongside incoming ammonium nitrate shipments to reinforce supplies. Supply strategies and capacity boost The assurances come as both smallholder and commercial farmers begin planting on the back of early rains and firmer commodity prices. Reliable fertiliser access is central to national maize targets and food-security objectives, following last season’s shortfalls and emergency imports. Reignbold officials told visiting authorities that compound D and top-dressing lines are running, with distribution systems activated to supply provincial depots and ward-level points. Government said allocations under the Presidential Input Scheme will be prioritised, while commercial suppliers and private distributors coordinate logistics to maintain speed and coverage. Separately, the Mutapa Investment Fund has finalised a US$125 million Afreximbank facility to procure raw materials for fertiliser manufacturing, a finance injection expected to bolster domestic output heading into the critical November–December planting window. Pricing and logistics concerns linger Farmers’ unions cautiously welcomed the announcement but stressed the need for transparency in allocation, pricing, and delivery schedules. Smallholder groups warned that late inputs can miss planting windows and undermine yields, and urged the rollout of affordable credit options to accompany physical availability. Commercial players said they are ready to use private transport fleets to reduce bottlenecks at provincial depots, but flagged potential delays if coordination falters. Analysts point to three primary risks: • Logistical delays slowing movement from factories to farming districts • Foreign exchange constraints affecting additional imports • Gaps between announced stock levels and actual depot deliveries Import dependence still in transition Zimbabwe has invested heavily in fertiliser imports in recent seasons while pushing to expand blending capacity, revive idle plants and secure regional supply arrangements. Subsidies under government schemes continue to target vulnerable households while maintaining commercial market channels. Officials say close monitoring will determine whether the latest measures translate into uninterrupted supply throughout the main planting period.
- Ipec flags data integrity issues in pensions sector
Ipec warns that data integrity failures in Zimbabwe’s pensions sector are delaying payouts and undermining valuations, urging urgent digital upgrades and stronger enforcement ( image source ) The Insurance and Pensions Commission (Ipec) has issued a strong warning over persistent data integrity failures across Zimbabwe’s pensions industry, saying fragmented records and unreliable contribution tracking are delaying payouts, distorting valuations and eroding confidence in the sector. Regulators say the most critical weaknesses involve incomplete member records, inconsistent employer remittances, and incompatible digital systems that prevent real-time reconciliation. Missing identity information, inaccurate employment histories and unclear beneficiary details continue to create verification hurdles when workers retire or switch employers. Delays and valuation risks mount Ipec’s assessment shows that poor data governance has direct financial consequences: • Retirees face delayed or incorrect benefits, disrupting essential household budgeting. • Employers incur audit and legal risks when contribution errors surface. • Pension funds struggle with actuarial uncertainty, raising questions over solvency where liabilities cannot be calculated with confidence. Industry officials warn that rising complaint volumes reflect deeper structural weaknesses that threaten the credibility of pensions as long-term retirement vehicles. Digital overhaul and enforcement on the table Ipec has recommended an urgent remediation plan built around: • A national data clean-up campaign led by a strengthened central registry • Quarterly reconciliation mandates for employers and trustees • Standardised reporting templates for contributions • Interoperable IT platforms using a unique member identifier linked to national IDs • Mandatory electronic remittances with automated reconciliation • Training for funds and employers on data governance and payroll integration Regulators also want published audited reconciliations and secure member self-service portals to improve transparency and reduce disputes. Compliance enforcement will be phased, combining penalties for persistent offenders with technical support for SMEs lacking advanced payroll systems. Governance issue, not just a technical fix Analysts note that accurate data is key for both financial stability and public policy. Pension reporting underpins savings mobilisation, investment planning and government social protection forecasts. Ipec argues that restoring trust hinges on clean records, timely payments and standardised reporting, positioning data integrity as a top governance priority for the sector.
- Fintech seen widening financial access for Zimbabwe’s informal sector
Industry leaders say fintech can expand financial access in Zimbabwe by lowering transaction costs, improving credit for informal traders and boosting digital payments ( image source ) Fintech innovations are emerging as a critical lever to broaden financial market access in Zimbabwe by lowering transaction costs, expanding digital payments and unlocking credit channels for consumers and micro-enterprises historically excluded from formal banking. Old Mutual Zimbabwe chief executive Sam Matsekete says fintech should be viewed “not merely as technology but an enabling infrastructure” capable of connecting informal economic actors to financial services that improve resilience and stimulate inclusive growth. Digital rails extending reach Digital wallets, agency banking and mobile payment rails reduce reliance on brick-and-mortar branches and extend services to peri-urban and rural communities. Faster onboarding using digital identity allows informal traders, women and youth to build credible transaction histories that lenders can score, opening the door to small credit lines with appropriate risk pricing — particularly vital for seasonal farmers and micro-retailers. Embedded finance is also gaining traction as payments and credit become integrated directly into merchant and e-commerce platforms. Products such as buy-now-pay-later, invoice financing and instant settlement smooth working-capital needs and reduce the need for large cash reserves, helping merchants increase turnover. Remittance fintechs are additionally cutting fees and accelerating diaspora inflows — a trend analysts say boosts both household consumption and local investment. Savings and insurance adoption rising Fintech is also promoting safety nets through automated savings tools tied to mobile wallets and micro-insurance products tailored to consumer patterns. The digital delivery of social transfers and youth grants improves transparency and reduces leakages in welfare programmes. Data-driven product design — including weather-indexed insurance and merchant-specific financing — is seen as driving adoption and improving product-market fit. Regulation and literacy are key Analysts caution that the expansion must be anchored in robust infrastructure and well-calibrated oversight. Policy priorities include: • Strong consumer protection and cybersecurity • Interoperability between bank and wallet channels • Clear e-money licensing • Proportionate AML monitoring • Affordable and reliable internet Digital literacy support, merchant onboarding and device subsidies are also recommended to reduce usage barriers for vulnerable segments. Industry players argue that with coordinated public-private action, fintech can shift Zimbabwe from an exclusion-heavy system to one that materially strengthens micro-economic resilience and sustained growth.
- DRC presidents headed for showdown
Tensions escalate in the DRC as President Tshisekedi and former leader Joseph Kabila head toward a political showdown following Kabila’s death-sentence ruling and renewed opposition mobilisation ( image source ) Political tensions in the Democratic Republic of Congo have intensified as President Félix Tshisekedi and former president Joseph Kabila appear to be moving toward a direct confrontation. The standoff follows a military court ruling that sentenced Kabila in absentia on charges including treason and alleged collaboration with armed groups — a judgment that has reignited fears of political instability and deepened national polarisation. Kabila has re-emerged in Nairobi, where he joined opposition leaders and civil-society groups to launch a new coalition, Sauvons la RDC (Save the DRC). The alliance positions itself as a defender of constitutional order and accuses Tshisekedi’s government of centralising power. The coalition has adopted a roadmap focused on political reform and crisis resolution, signalling coordinated mobilisation ahead of what could become a sustained national challenge to the president. The ruling against Kabila has become a flashpoint, drawing warnings from regional observers and human-rights groups who argue that criminalising a major opposition figure risks undermining the credibility of the judiciary if viewed as politically motivated. Government officials insist the case is linked to wartime security violations, while Kabila’s allies describe it as a targeted effort to eliminate a formidable rival from Congo’s political arena. Diplomatic pressure is growing behind the scenes as regional bodies and foreign governments call for restraint to avoid a widening crisis. Analysts caution that a direct confrontation between Tshisekedi’s administration and Kabila’s political network would place significant strain on state institutions including the military, judiciary and provincial governments. Heightened tensions could mobilise mass protests, sharpen elite divisions and complicate security efforts in conflict-affected eastern regions. Power struggle moves into new phases The unfolding battle is expected to involve legal appeals, street mobilisation, media influence campaigns and international lobbying. While Kabila’s current power within the military and provincial structures remains debated, his renewed prominence as a unifying figure for the opposition increases the risks for the ruling establishment and raises the stakes for any negotiated solution. Whether the situation leads to compromise or deeper confrontation will depend on decisions taken in the coming weeks — a volatile period that may shape Congo’s democratic trajectory and regional stability.
- Con women fleece Harare traders of US$25,000
Harare traders report losing over US$25,000 to suspected con women who allegedly ran fake clothing and blanket supply scams using WhatsApp networks and aliases ( image source ) Several downtown Harare traders say they have lost more than US$25,000 to two suspected con women who allegedly orchestrated a months-long fake supply scheme involving clothing and blankets, leaving some shop owners unable to restock and temporarily shutting their businesses. The suspects, identified as Fortunate Lambukeni and Millicent Mashongamhende — who also reportedly used the alias Mirirai Chaurika — are accused of recruiting clients via WhatsApp groups and direct street networks. Victims say they were offered fast delivery of imported stock at competitive prices, but after making advance payments no goods arrived and communication was blocked. One complainant, Alex Kari, told local media he was defrauded twice: “Fortunate duped me of US$9,000 and later introduced me to Millicent, who took another US$8,000.” Kari said both women vanished once he attempted to chase outstanding deliveries. Law-enforcement authorities have been notified and more victims are coming forward. Attempts to obtain comment from the accused were unsuccessful, with one suspect declining to respond when contacted. Fraud involving messaging apps and multiple identities continues to challenge investigators in Harare’s rapidly expanding informal trading sector. A familiar scam hitting hard Other traders in the central business district described similar patterns: small repeat transactions to build trust, followed by larger payments routed through intermediaries and sudden disappearance once funds were secured. The resulting cash-flow crises have been especially damaging for micro-retailers operating on narrow margins and dependent on quick turnover. Commercial crime analysts say the case reflects well-documented fraud tactics — advance payments for non-existent goods, shifting contact details, informal payment channels and false referrals to lawyers or agents. They recommend: • Verified supplier documentation • Staged payments tied to confirmed deliveries • Use of traceable bank transfers over cash or mobile wallet transactions Authorities have long warned that urban trading growth and informal cross-border sourcing create fertile conditions for opportunistic scams. Traders are urging stronger public awareness campaigns and supplier-vetting systems to prevent further financial harm.
- Fabrik Party Convention 2025
Fabrik Party Convention 2025 returns to Harare from October 24–26 with runway showcases, visual art, film, live music and workshops empowering Zimbabwe’s underground creative economy ( image source ) Fabrik Party Convention 2025 returns to Harare this weekend, spotlighting Zimbabwe’s underground creative culture through a three-day festival running from October 24 to 26 at Alliance Française de Harare. The event brings together fashion designers, visual artists, filmmakers, musicians and street-culture innovators for showcases, exhibitions and hands-on learning sessions. Founded in 2020 as grassroots pop-ups, Fabrik Party has evolved into a convention platforming subcultures overlooked by mainstream institutions. This year’s edition expands that mission with runway activations, marketplace stalls, gallery displays and live music stages that blend daytime cultural exchange with night-time performance energy. Organisers say more than 300 creatives have been supported through Fabrik initiatives to date, and the 2025 programme draws from that network. Emerging stylists and indie labels will debut collections on pop-up runways; visual artists will build site-specific installations; and filmmakers will screen short works exploring urban identity and youth perspectives. Collaborative showcases and skills-focused panels aim to drive sector professionalism and networking. Focus on skills and market access A central objective of the convention is strengthening creative entrepreneurship. Workshops will cover garment production, artist royalties, branding, sound engineering and low-budget film production. Mentorship clinics pair talent with industry facilitators to support business strategy and distribution, while curated retail spaces link creatives directly to buyers and stockists. Organisers describe Fabrik as a movement of “forward thinkers and visionaries” pushing alternative aesthetics into Zimbabwe’s mainstream. Inclusive curation aims to elevate gender diversity and creatives from outside Harare to decentralise cultural opportunities. Growing ambitions The event combines free and ticketed sessions, limited-edition pop-ups and late-night music performances. Travel and ticket information is available across partner platforms. With increasing scale and industry backing, Fabrik Party positions itself as both a celebration of underground culture and a launchpad for regional creative visibility and commercial growth.
- Circus Continues in Cameroon Elections
Cameroon’s disputed 2025 election has sparked rival victory claims, protests and a crisis of credibility, raising fears of deeper political instability ( image source ) Cameroon’s October 12 presidential vote has plunged into a prolonged post-poll standoff, with rival claims, street protests and a contested results timeline fuelling political instability more than two weeks after ballots were cast. The National Vote Counting Commission released provisional figures showing incumbent President Paul Biya ahead with just over half the vote, but opposition leaders have rejected the numbers and several have declared victory based on their own tallies — deepening a credibility crisis around the official process. The political drama began long before polling day: a 92-year-old incumbent seeking another term, a single-round voting system, and heightened scrutiny from regional and international observers created an atmosphere of tension. Opposition candidate Issa Tchiroma Bakary announced his own purported victory and urged authorities to “respect the choice of the people,” echoing earlier cycles where parallel tallies triggered unrest. Street mobilisation has followed the competing claims. Demonstrations have erupted in Yaounde and other urban centres as opposition supporters accuse state institutions of manipulating the tabulation process. Security forces have used force in parts of the north, where clashes were reported as legal challenges emerged. Government officials insist the electoral commission must complete formal validation procedures — a delay critics say fuels confusion and allows alternative narratives to take root. Digital disinformation has amplified mistrust. Analysts report a flood of misleading tallies and manipulated content circulating on social platforms, complicating fact-checking efforts by media and civil-society monitors. Fragmented data from polling stations and contradictory statements have left many citizens uncertain which version of results to believe. Legal avenues have so far failed to ease tensions. Cameroon’s constitutional council dismissed petitions from opposition parties, closing off judicial recourse and increasing the likelihood that resolution will rely on negotiated dialogue or international mediation. Analysts warn that bypassing the courts risks further polarisation and a prolonged governance crisis. The stakes extend beyond the presidency. Another disputed mandate for Biya — who has ruled since 1982 — would deepen questions about democratic legitimacy in Central Africa. Continued volatility threatens economic disruption and the risk of instability spilling into anglophone and northern regions already facing conflict. Whether authorities and opposition figures can establish a transparent, credible path toward resolution in the coming days will determine if Cameroon steps back from confrontation or descends further into political turmoil.
- Budiriro Electrocution Leaves Teen Dead — ZETDC Blames Rogue Contractor
A 19-year-old trainee was electrocuted in Budiriro after unauthorised power line work, with ZETDC blaming a rogue contractor for safety protocol breaches ( image source ) A 19-year-old student on industrial attachment was fatally electrocuted on Wednesday in Budiriro 1 Extension after working on a medium-voltage line that, the Zimbabwe Electricity Transmission and Distribution Company (ZETDC) says, had not been authorised for repair or intervention by its crews. In a statement issued after the incident, ZETDC said the deceased was attached to a private contractor and that preliminary investigations indicated no permit or authorisation had been issued for any work on the affected MV line at that location. The utility extended its “deepest and most sincere condolences” to the family, friends and colleagues of the victim while emphasising that public and worker safety remained its highest priority. ZETDC explicitly distanced itself from the operation, saying the contractor acted outside the company’s jurisdiction and safety protocols and that the power had been restored to the line while unauthorised work was under way, a lapse that appears to have contributed to the tragedy. The power company urged members of the public to engage only authorised ZETDC personnel for electrical work connected to the national grid to avoid similar incidents. Local sources and eyewitness accounts described chaotic scenes at the site as emergency responders arrived, but details about the exact sequence of events remain under review as investigators seek to establish who switched the feeder back on and whether standard isolation procedures were observed. ZETDC said its preliminary technical inquiry would be followed by a more detailed probe in coordination with other authorities to determine culpability and systemic safety gaps. The identity of the deceased and the contractor involved have not been publicly disclosed, and ZETDC said it would not release names pending notification of next of kin and the outcome of initial inquiries. Community leaders in Budiriro called for swift accountability and stronger enforcement of licensing rules for contractors working on or near power infrastructure to prevent recurrence. Power sector safety experts said the incident highlights longstanding risks when unlicensed or poorly supervised operators intervene on live distribution networks, pointing to inadequate permit controls, weak contractor vetting and occasional lapses in line isolation as recurring vulnerabilities in urban maintenance environments. They urged ZETDC and municipal authorities to fast-track stricter contractor accreditation, mandatory work permits and visible isolation tags at work sites. Trade unions and youth groups demanded that the contractor be held to account and that companies that take on trainees ensure strict supervision and compliance with health and safety protocols, warning that informal attachments without proper oversight expose young people to avoidable hazards. ZETDC’s notice serves as both a condolence and a warning: the utility reiterated that only authorised crews have mandate, training and isolation procedures to work safely on the national grid and said it would cooperate fully with investigators to ensure lessons are learned and remedial safety measures implemented.
- Cannabis Boom in South Africa and Zimbabwe Widens Inequality — Analysts
Analysts warn the cannabis boom in Zimbabwe and South Africa is enriching major investors while excluding small farmers, risking deeper rural inequality ( image source ) A rapid expansion of commercial cannabis cultivation and processing across South Africa and Zimbabwe is creating a lucrative frontier for well-capitalised investors while simultaneously threatening to exclude the smallholder farmers who have long depended on the crop for subsistence and cash income. Industrial cannabis ventures, backed by private equity, multinational processors and vertically integrated agribusinesses, are mobilising land, licensed propagation material, cold-chain logistics and export relationships at a scale that will be difficult for informal producers to match. The commercial model favours investors with deep pockets because entry now requires licensed seed and clone stock, controlled cultivation environments, certified processing facilities and compliance with export standards for active pharmaceutical ingredients or cannabinoid isolates. Well-funded firms are bundling these requirements into turnkey packages that capture planting, drying, extraction and export margins. They secure prime leasehold land, hire agronomists and invest in mechanised irrigation and energy backup systems, reducing unit costs and raising yields. Investors also tap specialised finance lines, insurance products and escrow arrangements that smallholders typically lack. Small farmers face multiple barriers. Licensing regimes in both countries often demand upfront capital and traceability systems that informal growers cannot afford. Seed-to-sale record-keeping, laboratory testing and certification for pesticide residues create recurring operational costs. Where governments parcel larger land blocks to attract anchor investors, customary smallholder plots remain outside regulated supply chains, excluding them from high-value buyer networks. Without cooperative aggregation, quality control or access to contract farming terms that guarantee price and off-take, smallholders risk being relegated to low-value, local markets or squeezed out entirely. There are social and economic consequences beyond lost income. In marginalised rural areas, cannabis has provided seasonal liquidity that supports school fees, food security and local trade. If commercialisation proceeds without inclusive measures, those safety nets will evaporate. Moreover, the concentration of processing capacity in a few hands could capture export foreign-exchange and tax benefits centrally while offering limited downstream employment for local labour beyond unskilled tasks. Policy interventions can alter the trajectory. Governments can mandate reservation quotas, technical extension services and subsidised certification schemes for smallholder cooperatives. Contracting frameworks that enforce fair pricing, shared-risk financing and staggered compliance deadlines would lower entry costs. Support for rural aggregation hubs, community drying facilities and cooperative-owned processing units can retain value locally. Public procurement set-asides for locally processed hemp products and export credit lines targeted at small cooperatives would also help rebalance benefits. There are also regulatory risks. Weak oversight could allow illicit diversion, undermine public-health standards and provoke international buyer mistrust. Conversely, overly rigid rules that assume industrial scale will ossify exclusion. The optimal pathway combines phased liberalisation for investors with active, time-bound inclusion measures for smallholders. Without such balance, the cannabis boom will likely accelerate wealth concentration and deepen rural inequality even as it creates genuine export opportunities and tax revenues for national treasuries.
- Inflationary pressures threaten Zim growth
Persistent inflation and currency volatility threaten to slow Zimbabwe’s growth in 2026 despite gains in agriculture and mining ( image source ) International lenders and regional economists warn that persistent inflation and exchange-rate pressure could slow Zimbabwe’s growth in 2026, trimming projected GDP expansion despite strong performances in agriculture and mining during 2025. The African Development Bank (AfDB), IMF and World Bank expect growth to moderate next year amid sustained inflationary and forex stresses. AfDB projects 4% growth in 2026, down from roughly 6% in 2025, while Bretton Woods estimates put next year near 4.6%, both figures lower than government optimism. Policymakers face the trade-off between supporting nascent growth sectors and tightening fiscal and monetary levers to arrest inflation. Central bank measures to curb quasi-fiscal activity and monetary financing have shown signs of stabilisation, but the currency’s volatility and high ZiG inflation remain key concerns for businesses and investors. “Inflation and forex shortages raise input and borrowing costs and squeeze margins for firms that import raw materials,” said Dr. Emmanuel Dube, macroeconomist at Harare University. “That can feed through to lower investment and slower hiring in 2026.” His view echoes multilateral institutions that tie growth prospects to macro stability and sustained policy discipline. Annual ZiG inflation surged through 2025, prompting RBZ to tighten controls; the bank signalled expectations for cooling inflation by October after earlier spikes, but analysts caution that any supply shock or fiscal slippage could reverse gains. Meanwhile, public debt remains elevated, limiting fiscal manoeuvre and increasing vulnerability to external shocks. Zimbabwe’s 2025 rebound followed better rains and higher commodity prices, notably gold. That recovery masks structural fragility — weak fiscal buffers, shallow foreign-exchange reserves and a history of monetary financing have left the economy susceptible to renewed inflation episodes. Exporters may gain from favourable global prices, but import-dependent manufacturers face rising domestic costs and sporadic forex allocations. Lenders and pension funds are increasingly selective, favouring large-cap, hard-currency earners; access to finance for SMEs remains constrained and could stifle private-sector-led broad-based growth. The coming 12 months will test whether policy coherence can lock in 2025 gains. Markets will look for visible fiscal restraint, consistent RBZ policy and better reserve management; failure to deliver could see growth forecasts trimmed further and private-sector confidence ebb.













